'Mawar' Slightly Intensifies As It Moves Westward Over The Philippine Sea
Photo credit: Dost_Pagasa
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has released Tropical Cyclone Advisory No. 5, providing updates on Super Typhoon "Mawar" as it continues to progress westward over the Philippine Sea.
As of 10:00 AM today, the center of the eye of Super Typhoon "Mawar" was estimated to be approximately 1,705 kilometers east of Southeastern Luzon, specifically located at 15.1°N, 138.8°E. The typhoon has slightly intensified, with maximum sustained winds near the center reaching 215 km/h, gusting up to 260 km/h, and a central pressure of 905 hPa.
Currently, "Mawar" is moving west at a speed of 20 km/h, with strong to typhoon-force winds extending up to 550 kilometers from the center.
The forecast for the upcoming period indicates that the super typhoon will continue its west-northwest track until Sunday, accelerating before turning northwestward.
It is expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tonight or early tomorrow morning.
By next week, during the slowdown period, the center of Mawar's eye is projected to be within 250 kilometers of the Batanes-Babuyan archipelago.
PAGASA anticipates that "Mawar" will reach its peak intensity within the next 24 hours. Although there may be a slight weakening by tomorrow evening, it is expected to maintain its super typhoon status until Monday morning due to highly favorable environmental conditions.
However, by late Monday or Tuesday, the typhoon is likely to weaken at a slightly faster rate as unfavorable conditions such as increasing wind shear, cooler sea surface temperatures resulting from its slowdown, and dry air intrusion take effect.
The current forecast indicates that "Mawar" may bring heavy rains, which could trigger flooding or rain-induced landslides, over Northern Luzon starting late Sunday or on Monday next week.
Additionally, Extreme Northern Luzon may experience strong to storm-force conditions, while the northern and eastern portions of Northern Luzon mainland may encounter strong to gale-force winds. In preparation for these severe winds, wind signals will be raised by tomorrow evening.
Furthermore, "Mawar" is expected to enhance the Southwest Monsoon, which may result in monsoon rains over the western parts of Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas starting Sunday or Monday. PAGASA advises the public and relevant disaster risk reduction and management offices to remain vigilant and monitor updates regarding this tropical cyclone.