Super Typhoon #BettyPH, also known as Typhoon Mawar, continues to maintain its strength as it moves in a west-northwestward direction, according to the latest bulletin from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). The bulletin, which is valid until the next advisory at 5:00 PM today, provides important information about the typhoon's location, intensity, movement, and potential hazards.
As of 10:00 AM, the center of Super Typhoon Betty was estimated to be approximately 1,170 kilometers east of Central Luzon, specifically at 16.4°N latitude and 133.1°E longitude. The typhoon is characterized by maximum sustained winds of 195 km/h near its center, with gustiness reaching up to 240 km/h. The central pressure was measured at 915 hPa. Betty is currently moving at a speed of 30 km/h in a west-northwestward direction.
The extent of tropical cyclone winds associated with Betty extends outward up to 600 kilometers from its center. Due to these strong winds, PAGASA has issued Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 (TCWS No. 1) in certain areas. The following locations are currently under the wind threat: the eastern portion of Cagayan (Santa Ana, Gonzaga, Lal-Lo, Gattaran, Baggao, Peñablanca, Santa Teresita, Buguey), including Babuyan and Camiguin Islands, and the eastern portion of Isabela (Maconacon, Divilacan, Dinapigue, Palanan, San Mariano, Ilagan City, Tumauini, San Pablo, Cabagan). The warning lead time for these areas is 36 hours. While the threat to life and property is minimal to minor, cautionary measures should still be taken.
One of the primary hazards affecting land areas is heavy rainfall. PAGASA has provided a rainfall outlook for various regions and timeframes. From Monday morning to Tuesday morning, Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and the northern portions of mainland Cagayan, Ilocos Norte, and Apayao can expect rainfall between 50-100 mm. From Tuesday morning to Wednesday morning, Batanes may experience rainfall exceeding 200 mm, while Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and La Union can expect rainfall between 100-200 mm. The Cordillera Administrative Region and the northern portion of mainland Cagayan may receive 50-100 mm of rainfall during this period. Higher amounts of rainfall are expected in elevated or mountainous areas.
In areas not directly affected by the super typhoon, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon may bring monsoon rains to the western sections of MIMAROPA, Visayas, and Mindanao in the coming days. Flooding and rain-induced landslides are likely, especially in highly susceptible areas identified in hazard maps and regions that have already experienced significant rainfall. Severe winds are another concern. Strong winds, ranging from strong breeze to near gale strength, will be experienced in areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1. Additionally, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon may bring strong breeze to near gale conditions with intermittent gusts to Visayas, eastern portions of Central and Southern Luzon, and the northern and eastern portions of Mindanao starting tomorrow evening or early Monday.
Coastal waters are also expected to be affected. In the next 24 hours, the eastern seaboards of Luzon and Visayas will experience moderate to rough seas, which may become rough to very rough. The northern seaboard of Luzon may experience moderate to rough seas in the morning through afternoon, followed by rough seas starting tonight. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to exercise caution and, if possible, avoid venturing into these conditions. A marine gale warning may be issued soon.
PAGASA's track and intensity outlook indicates that Super Typhoon Betty will continue to move in a west-northwestward direction over the weekend. By Monday, it will turn northwestward and decelerate as it moves over the waters east of Extreme Northern Luzon. The typhoon is expected to become almost stationary between late Tuesday and early Wednesday when it will be closest to Batanes, within a distance of 250-300 kilometers.
Betty is likely to remain a super typhoon over the weekend, maintaining its strength for the next 36-48 hours. However, short-term intensification cannot be ruled out, especially in the next 12 to 24 hours. Nonetheless, it may begin to weaken considerably on Monday or Tuesday as it slows down over the waters east of Batanes due to potential unfavorable conditions such as the upwelling of cooler ocean water and dry air intrusion.
PAGASA advises the public, as well as disaster risk reduction and management offices, to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Individuals residing in highly or very highly susceptible areas are urged to follow evacuation and other instructions issued by local officials. For specific information regarding heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather updates for your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division. The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today, providing updated information on Super Typhoon Betty.