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Advocates Philippines
Tropical Depression Egay Maintains Strength ; No Typhoon Signals Yet
Photo credit: Dost_Pagasa
In the latest update on Tropical Depression Egay, the storm remains formidable as it continues its west northwestward trajectory over the Philippine Sea. The center of Egay was estimated to be approximately 835 kilometers east of Southeastern Luzon, with maximum sustained winds near the center reaching 55 km/h and gustiness of up to 70 km/h. The central pressure is recorded at 1004 hPa, indicating a relatively weak storm.
Presently, Egay is moving at a speed of 20 km/h in a west northwestward direction. Strong winds extending outwards up to 550 kilometers from the center have been observed, posing potential hazards to coastal areas in its path.
As for the Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals (TCWS), there are currently no signals hoisted, but authorities are keeping a close watch on the situation and may issue warnings if necessary. However, heavy rainfall is expected in certain regions. Catanduanes and Northern Samar are forecasted to receive rainfall amounts ranging from 50 to 100 mm from Sunday afternoon to Monday afternoon.
Areas not directly affected by Egay may still experience monsoon rains due to the enhanced Southwest Monsoon over the western section of MIMAROPA and Visayas on Sunday. On Monday and Tuesday, the western section of Southern Luzon and Western Visayas may also expect monsoon rains.
The combination of heavy rainfall and monsoon rains may lead to potential hazards such as flooding and rain-induced landslides, especially in areas highly susceptible to these dangers as identified in hazard maps.
With the possibility of strong breeze to gale-force conditions caused by Egay, Wind Signals may be hoisted in parts of the Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas, particularly the eastern portion. Moreover, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon may bring strong breeze to near gale conditions with intermittent gusts in MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, and western portions of Mindanao.
Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to exercise caution and take precautionary measures as Egay is expected to bring moderate to rough seas (2.0 to 3.5 m) over the eastern seaboard of Southern Luzon and Eastern Visayas on Sunday.
In terms of the storm's track and intensity outlook, Egay is projected to continue on a west northwestward trajectory until late Sunday before turning northwestward over the Philippine Sea east of Luzon. While the current forecast shows that Egay will remain offshore over the waters east of Luzon, the forecast confidence cone indicates that a landfall scenario over the eastern portion of mainland Cagayan and Batanes cannot be ruled out.
Egay is also expected to intensify into a Tropical Storm within the next 12 hours and may steadily strengthen throughout its duration in the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). There is a possibility that it could reach Super Typhoon category by late Monday or early Tuesday as it moves over the Philippine Sea east of Luzon.
As a result, the public and concerned disaster risk reduction and management offices are urged to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Residents in areas identified as highly or very highly susceptible to the hazards posed by Egay should follow evacuation and other safety instructions from local officials.
For specific weather information and advisories related to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division. The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 PM today (July 21, 2023), providing further updates on Tropical Depression Egay's movement and potential impact.
Presently, Egay is moving at a speed of 20 km/h in a west northwestward direction. Strong winds extending outwards up to 550 kilometers from the center have been observed, posing potential hazards to coastal areas in its path.
As for the Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals (TCWS), there are currently no signals hoisted, but authorities are keeping a close watch on the situation and may issue warnings if necessary. However, heavy rainfall is expected in certain regions. Catanduanes and Northern Samar are forecasted to receive rainfall amounts ranging from 50 to 100 mm from Sunday afternoon to Monday afternoon.
Areas not directly affected by Egay may still experience monsoon rains due to the enhanced Southwest Monsoon over the western section of MIMAROPA and Visayas on Sunday. On Monday and Tuesday, the western section of Southern Luzon and Western Visayas may also expect monsoon rains.
The combination of heavy rainfall and monsoon rains may lead to potential hazards such as flooding and rain-induced landslides, especially in areas highly susceptible to these dangers as identified in hazard maps.
With the possibility of strong breeze to gale-force conditions caused by Egay, Wind Signals may be hoisted in parts of the Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas, particularly the eastern portion. Moreover, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon may bring strong breeze to near gale conditions with intermittent gusts in MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, and western portions of Mindanao.
Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to exercise caution and take precautionary measures as Egay is expected to bring moderate to rough seas (2.0 to 3.5 m) over the eastern seaboard of Southern Luzon and Eastern Visayas on Sunday.
In terms of the storm's track and intensity outlook, Egay is projected to continue on a west northwestward trajectory until late Sunday before turning northwestward over the Philippine Sea east of Luzon. While the current forecast shows that Egay will remain offshore over the waters east of Luzon, the forecast confidence cone indicates that a landfall scenario over the eastern portion of mainland Cagayan and Batanes cannot be ruled out.
Egay is also expected to intensify into a Tropical Storm within the next 12 hours and may steadily strengthen throughout its duration in the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). There is a possibility that it could reach Super Typhoon category by late Monday or early Tuesday as it moves over the Philippine Sea east of Luzon.
As a result, the public and concerned disaster risk reduction and management offices are urged to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Residents in areas identified as highly or very highly susceptible to the hazards posed by Egay should follow evacuation and other safety instructions from local officials.
For specific weather information and advisories related to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division. The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 PM today (July 21, 2023), providing further updates on Tropical Depression Egay's movement and potential impact.
Jul 21, 2023
