The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has released Tropical Cyclone Bulletin No. 11, providing the latest updates on Typhoon BettyPH (international name Mawar). The bulletin states that Typhoon BettyPH continues to decelerate as it moves north-northwestward over the waters east of Cagayan.
According to the bulletin, as of 4:00 PM today, the center of the typhoon's eye was estimated to be approximately 445 kilometers east of Calayan, Cagayan. It has maximum sustained winds of 155 kilometers per hour near the center, with gusts reaching up to 190 kilometers per hour. The central pressure was recorded at 950 hectopascals. The typhoon is presently moving at a speed of 10 kilometers per hour in a north-northwestward direction.
Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals (TCWS) have been raised in various areas across Luzon. TCWS No. 2, indicating a threat of gale-force winds, is in effect for Batanes and the northeastern portion of Cagayan, including Babuyan Islands. TCWS No. 1, signaling strong winds, is in effect for the rest of mainland Cagayan, Isabela, Apayao, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Aurora, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Pollilo Islands, Camarines Norte, and Ilocos Sur.
The bulletin also highlights the potential impacts of the winds, ranging from a minor to moderate threat to life and property for areas under TCWS No. 2, and a minimal to minor threat for areas under TCWS No. 1. It advises residents in these areas to remain vigilant and take necessary precautions.
In terms of rainfall, the bulletin provides a heavy rainfall outlook for the affected land areas. The forecast indicates that Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Apayao, and mainland Cagayan will experience rainfall ranging from 50 to 100 millimeters today until tomorrow afternoon. From tomorrow afternoon to Wednesday afternoon, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Abra, Benguet, Batanes, and Babuyan Islands may receive rainfall of 100 to 200 millimeters.
The bulletin also warns of possible flooding and rain-induced landslides, especially in vulnerable areas and localities that have experienced substantial rainfall in recent days.
In addition to the typhoon's impact, the bulletin notes that occasional to monsoon rains can be expected over the western portions of Southern Luzon and Visayas due to the Southwest Monsoon.
The bulletin advises that areas affected by the typhoon should prepare for severe winds. Gale-force winds are likely in areas under TCWS No. 2, while occasional gusts may be experienced in other localities due to the Southwest Monsoon. Coastal and exposed upland/mountainous areas are particularly susceptible to these conditions.
Regarding coastal waters, a marine gale warning remains in effect for several seaboards across Northern Luzon, Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao due to the influence of Typhoon BettyPH.
The track and intensity outlook provided in the bulletin suggests that the typhoon will move northwestward slowly today and may become almost stationary or slow-moving from tomorrow to Wednesday, east of Batanes. Later, it is expected to turn north-northeastward or northeastward on late Wednesday or Thursday, gradually accelerating towards the waters east of Taiwan and the southern portion of Ryukyu Islands. Typhoon BettyPH may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Friday.
The bulletin further predicts that the typhoon will weaken over the next five days due to cooler ocean waters and dry air intrusion. It may be downgraded to a severe tropical storm by late Thursday or early Friday, and eventually to a tropical storm by late Friday or early Saturday. PAGASA advises the public and concerned disaster risk reduction and management offices to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Individuals residing in areas highly or very highly susceptible to the hazards associated with the typhoon should follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. PAGASA Regional Services Division will continue to issue specific weather information and warnings for each area.