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Advocates Philippines
Typhoon Egay Further Intensifies While Moving Westward Over The Philippine Sea
Photo credit: Dost_Pagasa
Typhoon Egay, currently located approximately 525 km East of Baler, Aurora, has intensified further as it moves westward over the Philippine Sea. The center of the typhoon's eye was estimated at 15.4 °N, 126.5 °E.

With maximum sustained winds of 150 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 185 km/h, Typhoon Egay poses a significant threat to several regions in the Philippines.
Weather authorities have issued forecasts for accumulated rainfall in various areas from today until tomorrow noon. Cagayan, Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Camarines Norte, and the northern portion of Sorsogon are expected to receive 50-100 mm of rainfall during this period.

The forecast for accumulated rainfall from tomorrow noon to Wednesday noon includes above 200 mm for Batanes, Cagayan, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and other regions. Meanwhile, the northern and eastern portions of Isabela, as well as several other areas, are expected to receive 100-200 mm of rainfall.

Other regions may receive 50-100 mm of rainfall during this time.
Authorities warn that elevated or mountainous areas are likely to experience higher rainfall, increasing the risk of flooding and rain-induced landslides. Residents in highly susceptible areas identified in hazard maps and those that have experienced considerable rainfall in recent days should take necessary precautions.

Additionally, Typhoon Egay may enhance the Southwest Monsoon, bringing occasional to monsoon rains over the western portions of Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas in the next three days.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has also issued Wind Signal warnings. Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within areas where Wind Signal No. 2 is in effect, while minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible under Wind Signal No. 1. The highest wind signal that may be hoisted is Wind Signal No. 4 or 5, indicating a threat of typhoon-force winds.

Furthermore, coastal areas of Batanes, Cagayan, Ilocos Norte, and Isabela are at risk of storm surge of up to 2.0 meters in height, which could cause flooding in low-lying and exposed areas.
Mariners and residents in affected areas are advised to exercise caution and follow safety guidelines provided by authorities. Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts, and larger vessels operating in gale conditions should be equipped accordingly.

Typhoon Egay is projected to track west-northwestward in the next 12 hours before turning northwestward and heading closer to the landmass of Northern Luzon towards the Luzon Strait. It is expected to cross the Babuyan Islands-Batanes area between tomorrow late evening and Wednesday afternoon, potentially reaching super typhoon category by late tomorrow or early Wednesday.

While the track forecast shows that the typhoon may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Thursday (July 27,2023), there remains a possibility of further shifts in the track due to the presence of a high-pressure ridge north of the typhoon. As such, a landfall over the northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan is not ruled out.

Residents in potentially affected areas are urged to closely monitor weather updates and follow guidance from local authorities to ensure their safety and well-being during this weather event.
Jul 24, 2023
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