Photo credit: Dost_pagasa

Tropical Depression Kristine is taking its time as it moves westward over the Philippine Sea, a slight slowdown that everyone should keep an eye on. As of 4:00 PM today, Kristine’s center is around 760 kilometers east of Catarman, Northern Samar, packing maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h and gusts reaching up to 70 km/h. While it may seem like a calm before the storm, there’s definitely more to this weather update.

Where’s Kristine Heading?

Kristine is currently drifting west at a pace of 15 km/h. Although it might seem like a leisurely cruise, forecasts suggest a west-southwestward shift by tomorrow morning, then a turn to the west-northwest later. If Kristine stays on this path, it could make landfall in Northern Luzon by Thursday evening or early Friday. However, tropical cyclones can be unpredictable, and the track could still change as Kristine approaches the coast.

What’s Happening Now?

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1 has already been raised for several areas, signaling potential strong winds (39 to 61 km/h). Affected regions include parts of Luzon (like Isabela, Aurora, and Quezon), the Bicol Region, Visayas (including Eastern Samar and Leyte), and parts of Mindanao (such as Surigao del Norte and Dinagat Islands). While the immediate impact may be minimal, some areas—especially those along the coast or in the mountains—could still experience stronger gusts.

Kristine’s winds stretch far and wide, extending up to 800 kilometers from its center, so even if you’re not in the direct path, you could still feel the effects. Additionally, gusty conditions are likely over other regions due to the interaction between Kristine and the Northeasterly Windflow.

Rain, Winds, and Rough Seas: The Full Package

Don’t be fooled by the “Tropical Depression” label—Kristine is expected to gain strength, potentially becoming a tropical storm within the next 12 hours and possibly reaching typhoon status by Thursday. That means heavier rain, stronger winds, and more hazards. Be sure to keep an eye on updates regarding rainfall warnings, as heavy rains could lead to flooding or landslides.

For mariners, Kristine is no friend. Gale warnings are in effect, and sea travel remains dangerous, particularly along the eastern coasts of Southern Luzon, Visayas, and parts of Northern Luzon. Waves could reach as high as 5.5 meters, making it risky for all types of vessels. So, if you’re planning to hit the water, it’s best to stay in port or find a safe harbor until conditions improve.

What’s Next?

Kristine is just warming up. With favorable conditions in the Philippine Sea, it could undergo rapid intensification. The highest potential wind signal during Kristine’s passage could go up to Signal No. 4, indicating that we could be in for some significant weather action. Be prepared, stay informed, and don’t wait until the last minute to make your emergency plans.